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Sinclair, D. B., & Alvarez, R. M. 2004. “Who overvotes, who undervotes, using punchcards? Evidence from Los Angeles County.” Political Research Quarterly, 57(1), Pp. 15-25.

In this study we examine over- and undervotes from the November 2000 General Election in Los Angeles County. Los Angeles County is the nation’s largest election jurisdiction, and it used a punchcard voting system in that election. We use precincts as our unit of analysis and merge the 2000 election data with census data and voter registration data; our dataset allows us to examine all of the countywide races in 2000 (including candidate and ballot measures). We use a multivariate statistical analysis employing negative binomial regression to test hypotheses regarding the relationship between precincts’ political and demographic characteristics and over-and undervotes. We demonstrate that both over- and undervotes vary systematically across precincts in Los Angeles County, a finding that we argue has important implications for the representation of political interests.

Rex Deng

Written by Rex Deng

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